在工作会议上的工作报告（二）
<p><font color="#000000" face="宋体"></font></p><p style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"><font color="#000000"> 二、面临的形势与问题</font></span></p><p><font color="#000000" face="宋体">
</font></p><p style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><font color="#000000"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"><font face="Calibri"> </font></span></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">从外部形势看，支持清洁能源与电力市场改革的政策交织，能源生产革命呈现绿色低碳、经济可靠的强烈趋势。</span></font></p><p><font color="#000000" face="宋体">
</font></p><p style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><font color="#000000"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"><font face="Calibri"> </font></span></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">一是政策扩容，我们要看到抢抓发展的机遇。十九大报告中“壮大清洁能源产业”的重要部署没有改变，国家能源局</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">2018</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">年“</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">518</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">”、“</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">530</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">”政策出台后，又连续表态将继续支持大力发展风电光伏，</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">2019</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">年国家能源工作会上提出“优先发展与促进消纳”的原则，“十三五”规划中的光伏规模从</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">1.1</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">亿千瓦增加到</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">2.1</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">亿千瓦，还可能放大到</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">2.5</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">亿千瓦，特别是将平价新能源项目交由地方政府决定建设规模和时序，分散式风电、分布式光伏的空间都不做限制。本省成为政策受益的重点地区，海南州</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">-</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">驻马店的直流特高压工程落地，将带动</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">1500</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">万千瓦新能源集中建设空间，这就是我们身边的巨大机遇。</span></font></p><p><font color="#000000" face="宋体">
</font></p><p style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><font color="#000000"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"> 二是机制完善，我们要看到健康经营的希望。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">2018</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">年，国家多次强调要降低风电光伏的非技术成本，在土地、税收和电网接入上保持优惠政策连续性。新能源优先发电和保障消纳政策日趋严格，可再生能源配额制、绿证和碳交易等政策在</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">2019</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">年开始实施。这些都是有利于新能源行业长期可持续经营的机制，将为我们加大投资力度提供经营保障。</span></font></p><p><font color="#000000" face="宋体">
</font></p><p style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><font color="#000000"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"> 三是补贴退坡，我们要看到产业成长的趋势。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">2018</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">年，全国风电装机</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">1.84</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">亿千瓦、光伏装机</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">1.7</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">亿千瓦，发电量</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">5435</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">亿千瓦时，国家累计补贴缺口已达</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">2000</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">亿元。社会呼声和行业实际已经推动财政部、国家能源局研究减少甚至取消新建项目补贴，国家发改委、国家能源局下发《关于积极推进风电、光伏发电无补贴平价上网有关工作的通知》（发改能源〔</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">2019</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">〕</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">19</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">号文），设备制造商和产业投资者都在积极呼应平价、低价趋势，行业发展水平将使无补贴时间将大大提前。对于青海而言，</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">0.22</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">元的本地上网电价是个历史遗留问题，国家能源局仍然承认可以适度补贴，但是，对于我们而言，竞争倒逼我们必须放弃侥幸心理，提前考虑无补贴投资项目，才能应对政策变化的风险。</span></font></p><p><font color="#000000" face="宋体">
</font></p><p style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><font color="#000000"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"> 四是竞争配置，我们要看到获取资源的压力。风电光伏采取竞争性配置已经成为常态，</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">2018</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">年全国光伏领跑者已经将竞争态势展现到极致，格尔木基地创造了</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">0.31</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">元的全国光伏最低价。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">2018</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">年底，宁夏、广东、福建的风电竞争性配置已经完成。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">2019</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">年上半年，青海特高压基地的项目配置，国家能源局、本省政府已明确要采用竞标模式，同时，省内</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">2019</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">年的其他风电光伏项目都要进行竞争性配置。对于我们而言，辩证地看，竞标也是我们追赶超越的最好机会，必须要充分感受到压力，做好准备，打一场硬仗。</span></font></p><p><font color="#000000" face="宋体">
</font></p><p style="margin: 0cm 0cm 0pt;"><font color="#000000"><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;"> 五是市场不利，我们要看到存量经营的危机。我们所在的青海电力市场极其特殊，内需不旺、局部限电、季节波动，</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">2018</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">年全省社会用电量</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">726.78</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">亿千瓦时，外送电</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">118.61</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">亿千瓦时、外购电</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">60.43</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">亿千瓦时，市场交易</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">372.45</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">亿千瓦时，全省光伏限电率</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">4.76%</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">2019</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">年，省内高耗能企业生产形势不利，已经形成了发电企业继续大幅让利的局面，预计全年市场交易电量</span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 16pt;"><font face="Calibri">416</font></span><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">亿千瓦时，限电问题将更加突出，我们的存量资产利润将大幅减少。</span></font></p><p><font color="#000000" face="宋体">
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